Tuesday, June 03, 2008

Will Hillary Win South Dakota?

The historic Presidential contest of Senator Hillary Clinton may end tonight with a strong and surprising finish in South Dakota. The closeness of the race -- too close to call -- might fall into the Clinton camp. That would give Hillary a mighty close, and a solid argument that she deserves to be the running mate.

We are solidly in the camp of Jim Webb as Veep. Still, Hillary's strong showing in Puerto Rico among Latinos and a possible win in South Dakota would be problematic for a Webb veepstakes win. From Politico:

"The state’s demographics – white, older and working class – would seem to favor Clinton. But Obama won endorsements from top Democratic leaders, including former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle and Sen. Tim Johnson, and hired their key organizers who know the state well.

"Given a choice between Montana and South Dakota, Clinton advisers say they like their chances better in the latter, where at least one member of the Clinton family has campaigned every day for the last several days. Clinton campaign chairman Terry McAuliffe told donors recently that the race in both states were tight, but “we’re looking a little better in South Dakota.”

"Obama aides agree: South Dakota is a tougher fight for the Illinois senator. But he is nonetheless looking for one win, if not two, after several overwhelming primary election defeats in recent months."


Things to look for: How the Native-American demographic votes, the returns from Sioux Falls and Minnehaha County and overall turnout.

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